Anastasija Sevastova vs Naomi Osaka Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Osaka has recently won 45.44% of points on her second serve compared to Sevastova's 38.07%. Could this give Osaka a serving edge?
• Return Game Stats: Sevastova excels against her opponent's second serve, winning 53.49% of those points, slightly higher than Osaka's 51.79%. On first serve returns, Sevastova also holds an advantage with 33.95% over Osaka's 25.38%.
• Under Pressure Analysis: Sevastova has a slight edge in breakpoints saved, at 53.85% compared to Osaka's 49.32%. How could this affect their control during crucial points?
• Performance Overview: Over the past year, Osaka has a better win rate at 66.67% (30/15) compared to Sevastova's 53.33% (8/7).
• Best Surface: Sevastova performs best on clay with a 68% win rate, while Osaka excels on hard courts with 67%. Which player benefits more on the current surface?
• Player Level: Both players have been active in the Masters series, with Sevastova winning 71.43% of her matches, slightly edging out Osaka’s 66.67%.
• Head-to-Head History: Osaka leads the direct encounters 3-2, with past matches closely contested, each winning 6 sets.
• Deciding Set History: When matches extend to a deciding set, Osaka has been victorious twice out of two compared to Sevastova's none.
• Opponent Quality: Osaka has faced tougher opponents on average, with a ranking of 78.69 compared to Sevastova's 103.47.
• Break Point Conversion: Sevastova has demonstrated superior breakpoint conversion at 38.05% versus Osaka's 32.46%.

Editorial Prediction (August 3, 2025, UTC):

In the upcoming match, the respective strengths and recent forms of both players provide interesting talking points. Osaka's stronger second serve performance and historical success in deciding sets might suggest an advantage.

Sevastova, meanwhile, will likely seek to exploit her superior return game statistics and breakpoint conversion rate, particularly given her slightly better performance under pressure at key moments.

Despite Sevastova's strategic edges, Osaka's overall match win percentage and historical head-to-head lead suggest she is better positioned. Given her higher performance on hard courts and more competitive opponent roster, Naomi Osaka is projected to win this match.